• Probabilities of Destructive Potential and of Terrorism Threat Levels
  • 14-Day Terrorism Alert Predictions and Confidence Levels
• Track-and Alert visual conditional forecasts
  • The global economic uncertainty
  • The terrorism alert index (7/60-D)
• Security Matrix  Sample
  • Awareness/Attention spectra (1-D Mindshare/Mindrank distributions)
  • Track forecasts for the terrorism alert index (7/60-D)
  • Track forecasts for the destructive potential entailed in economic uncertainty (HIGH, VERY HIGH, and EXTREME)
  • Track forecasts for the likelihood of terrorism (Codes YELLOW, ORANGE, and RED)

• Predict the likelihood of catastrophic terrorism
• Determine the severity of the most recently measured mindshares: what is the time evolution of the uncertainty and terrorism alert indices if the most recent mindshare distributions persist for 3 consecutive weeks

• Oct/Nov-05

• Correlations between MI2 indices and stock market indices
• MI2 model for "predicting" future stock market indices

• Contingent upon successful research outcome

• Unknown

• Correlations between MI2 terrorism alert indices and reported violence
• MI2 model for "predicting" propitious opportunities for terrorists to strike

• Contingent upon successful research outcome.

• Unknown

• MI2 model and master equation for determining the time evolution of the global state of mind

• "Predicting" future stock market indices
• "Predicting" future propitious opportunities for terrorists to strike

• Classified

• Money stock
• Debt (financial and nonfinancial sectors)
• Business cycle
• Socio-economic data

• 2007

• Energy consumption by fuel type
• Energy consumption per capita
• Energy production
• Energy import-export matrix
• Socio-economic data
• Energy and socio-economic data sources

• Starting mid May 2007

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All prices are shown in USD. All prices are subject to change without notice.

MACROKNOW INTELLECTUAL INTELLIGENCE™ (MI2) EDITION 2008
MIND CHRONICLE EDITION 2008

Edward E. Ayoub. Macrogenome Project™. Toronto, ON: Macroknow Inc., 2000-2008.
Edward E. Ayoub. ED's Favorite Quotations™. Toronto, ON: Macroknow Inc., 2000-2008.
Macroknow Book Club™. Toronto, ON: Macroknow Inc., 2000-2008.

Copyright © 2000-2008 by Dr. Edward E. Ayoub. All Rights Reserved.
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MACROKNOW INTELLECTUAL INTELLIGENCE™ / GLOBAL SECURITY ALERT-20020903
Last modified: August 30, 2008 12:18 Pacific Time.
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The Macroknow Indexes (Indexes), including the Global Uncertainty Indexes and the Macroknow Terrorism Alert Indexes, are the products of ongoing Macroknow Exploratory and Experimental Research. The Indexes and the associated Threat Level Codes (Codes) are provided for information purposes only. The Indices and the Codes provide warnings of potential threats; they do not provide specific information about:

• The threats' causes, potential gravity, and potential consequences;
• The threats' purpose, potential targets, geographical location, and timing;
• The security procedures, the protective measures, and the responses the threats call for; and 
• How to manage the threats.

THE INDEXES AND THE CODES, BEING EXPERIMENTAL OR EXPLORATORY, MUST BE INTERPRETED AND USED WITH EXTREME CAUTION. YOU (AND NOT MACROKNOW) ASSUME TOTAL RESPONSIBILITY AND RISK FOR YOUR USE OF THE MACROKNOW SITE.