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CONDITIONS FOR
CATASTROPHIC TERRORISM Macroknow research indicates that a PROPITIOUS OPPORTUNITY FOR CATASTROPHIC TERRORISM arises (in time period 2; see the Threat Assessment for 9/11) when the following conditions obtain:
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CURRENT THREAT SITUATION There is currently a substantial buildup (80%) in VERY HIGH DESTRUCTIVE POTENTIAL (the potential for hundreds of deaths per terrorist incident). Recent death counts per incident have been as high as 50 (Zimbabwe, 27-May-08). The EXTREME DESTRUCTIVE POTENTIAL (the potential for thousands of deaths per terrorist incident) is currently around 20%. A catastrophic attack, while possible, is not highly probable. However, the situation can change abruptly if a recession develops in the U.S. Reason: To push the U.S. economy into a deep depression. Should the current politico-economic trends remain unchanged, a RED ALERT could develop; the most propitious opportunity for terrorism could rise to 44.8% around 21-Jun-08. (A high propitiousness favors attackers; a low propitiousness favors authorities.) Seven out of 7 consecutive CONDITIONAL SECURITY FORECASTS for the 7/60-DAY TERRORISM ALERT INDEX indicate CODE RED ALARMS are possible around and after 15-Jun-08-08.
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See DISCLAIMER.
