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Economic/Moral Uncertainty |
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Uncertainty and Terrorism Indices |
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17-Aug-08 |
Published
18-Aug-08 |
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Economic and Moral Uncertainty Indices |
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A
significant increase in the Economic Uncertainty forebodes a significant increase in the destructive potential of
possible future terrorist attacks. Note that the Terrorism Alert Indexes are derived from the
Economic Uncertainty Index and not from the Moral Uncertainty Index. The thresholds for the EXTREME (Code X, RED) and VERY HIGH (Code V, ORANGE)
threat level codes for the ECONOMIC UNCERTAINTY INDEX have been calibrated
using two major world events, 9/11 and Israel's incursion into Palestinian
territory. 9/11 was preceded by persistent code RED Economic Uncertainty
signals, and Israel's incursion by persistent code ORANGE signals. |
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Copyright © 2001-2008 by Dr. Edward E. Ayoub.
All Rights Reserved. |
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Copyright © 2001-2008 by Macroknow Inc. All
Rights Reserved. |
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A3-18-Aug-08 |
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M-1125 |
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