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STATE OF THE WORLD TOP

MI2 has been monitoring and tracking the daily intellectual State of the World since 1 March 2001. The State of the World is defined in terms of 17 Thought Variables (called Topics or Indices).

The variables are organized around 7 groups and are color coded:

 

Thought Variables

Thought Group Desire
More
Desire
Less
Facilitators
Autonomy Freedom Slavery  
Ethics Good Evil  
Logic Truth Deceit  
Money Money Debt Bankers
Capitalism
Trade
Justice Justice   Law
Science & Technology     Arithmetic
Science
Technology
Religion     Religion

The Macroknow Library includes a knowledge map for each variable or Topic. The knowledge maps hold the intellect that the variable represents. The intellect is derived from the works of philosophers, economists, social critics, prophets, sages, psychoanalysts, historians, and scientists representing a broad range of political, economic, and philosophical viewpoints

Except for Religion, all the data sets start at 1 March 2001. The data set for Religion starts at 8 August 2001.

MINDSHARES AND MINDRANKS TOP

All 17 variables are measured daily (Pacific Time is used). Each variable is expressed in 3 forms: scalar, percent or mindshare, and percent rank or mindrank.

  • Scalar. The scalar value of a Topic is proportional to the total number of global searches associated with that Topic. More specifically, the scalar value of a Topic is proportional to the total number of daily page hits associated with the Topic's knowledge map.

  • Mindshare. The percent value of a Topic represents the mindshare allotted to that Topic. The sum of all the mindshares for the 17 Topics on any given day is 100%.

  • Mindrank. The percent rank, or the mindrank of a Topic, on a given day is the percentage rank of the Topic’s mindshare on that day in the total data set for that Topic. The highest mindshare for any given Topic since 1 March 2001 has a mindrank of 100%; the lowest, 0%.

Besides the 1-day measurements, MI2 also provides 7-day and 30-day cumulative measurements for each Topic, and the associated mindshares and mindranks. These provide rolling “weekly” and “monthly” perspectives, respectively.

CONSUMER AWARENESS AND ATTENTION TOP

A Topic's mindshare measures the awareness consumers allot to the Topic. For example, the mindshare allotted to Evil was extremely high in the few months before and the few months after 11 September 2001. It was high before 9/11 because people were concerned about the downside of globalization. It was high after because people were horrified by the 9/11 terrorist attack.

A Topic's mindrank measures the attention consumers focus on the Topic. The higher the mindshare is, the higher the corresponding mindrank. However, a Topic that has a relatively low mindshare over long stretches of time can have a very high mindrank. This occurs when people's attention becomes highly focused on that Topic. For example, the mindrank for Law before 9/11 was ironically higher than the mindrank for Evil after 9/11 indicating that people's concerns with the perceived inequities in the law was extremely high.

THE STREAM OF THOUGHT TOP

The idea of a "stream of thought" was first developed by the American physiologist, psychologist and philosopher William James. This idea is rooted in Heracltus' observation that you can never step in the same river twice. People sense and think about what is going on within and without themselves. The dynamic flow of the personal sensations and thoughts is the personal stream of thought. The superposition of all the personal streams of thought constitute the World's stream of thought. The World's stream of thought is affected by and affects world events.

MI2 measures and tracks two aspects of the World's stream of thought: The awareness stream and the attention stream. When the streams are correlated with world events, you can see causal chains that would otherwise remain hidden.

The stream of thought in MI2 is a most powerful  instrument:

  • It helps you understand world events as they unfold; and

  • It helps you anticipate events that are entailed in the stream of thought -- and, when possible, exploit them before they unfold.

CORRELATIONS TOP

MI2 provides the correlations between all 17 variables in Matrix form. There are 289 (17x17) daily correlations, 289 7-day correlations, and 289 30-day correlations. All the correlations are calculated and charted daily.

  • A correlation measures the extent to which one variable is associated with or can be predicted from another. More specifically, the correlation coefficient for 2 variables measures the degree to which a linear predictive relation exists between the 2 variables. The correlation coefficient varies between -1 and +1. A positive correlation indicates that 2 variables tend to increase or decrease simultaneously. A negative correlation indicates that the 2 variables tend to move in opposite directions simultaneously.

  • Depending on your Worldview, a correlation can be Good, Neutral, or Bad. For example, a moral person would view a strong positive correlation between Debt and Deceit as Bad, and a strong negative correlation between Justice and Evil as Good. The absolute value of threshold for deciding whether a correlation is Good or Bad is typically set at 0.9.

BUSINESS OPPORTUNITY AND THREAT WARNINGS TOP

MI2 uses mindranks in conjunction with two devices -- the "Cause-and-Effect" Matrix and the Worldview Matrix -- to generate daily business opportunity and threat warnings. The warnings are automatically determined, categorized and ranked. The Worldview encodes high moral and ethical standards consistent with free will.

  • A business opportunity is likely when a mindrank is very high and the corresponding mindshare correlations with the other Topics are overwhelmingly GOOD.

  • A business threat is likely when a mindrank is very high and the corresponding mindshare correlations with the other Topics are overwhelmingly BAD.

CONSTRUCTIVE AND DESTRUCTIVE FACTORS TOP

To be published Soon.

ECONOMIC UNCERTAINTY AND LIKELIHOOD OF TERRORISM TOP

To be published Soon.

WORLD EVENTS TOP

To be published Soon.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


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The Macroknow Indexes (Indexes), including the Global Uncertainty Indexes and the Macroknow Terrorism Alert Indexes, are the products of ongoing Macroknow Exploratory and Experimental Research. The Indexes and the associated Threat Level Codes (Codes) are provided for information purposes only. The Indices and the Codes provide warnings of potential threats; they do not provide specific information about:

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